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Big Wins and Big Losses in the Second Super Tuesday
This is Ray Mossholder.
The unexpected happened as usual. One of the Republican candidates is now hanging by a fingernail. Michigan, Mississippi, Hawaii and Idaho have been heard from. Ray has the details most other news reporters are missing. Join him now.
For the Republicans, last night was a HUGE upset for the good old boys, the leaders of the Republican Party, especially Mitt Romney. All of them must of had to take aspirin.
Everything from the lawnmower to the kitchen sink had been thrown at Donald Trump this past week by the Karl Rove-ites. But that only seemed to help him. Americans love underdogs and people being bullied
Mitt Romney must feel like an absolute fool this morning after sending out Robo calls to all four states involved in the second Super Tuesday.
Mister Trump won three out of four states that Romney had blanketed with a plea to vote for anyone but Trump.
It must be extremely embarrassing to him to realize only Idaho may have listened. Responded while at least a million dollars was spent by his Super PACs smearing the Donald with everything from television ads to media writers.
To make things dreadfully worse for the big-time spenders who wanted Trump to lose. But not only did Trump win easily in Mississippi but he did something only two other candidates have done in this modern era – with that win Trump, like only Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, totally swept The Deep South states – first in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, South Carolina, and Mississippi.
And to rub salt in the wounds of the money machines – in four of those five states, Trump won by double digits!
Hillary did the same thing last night, though it’s far more common for Democrats to sweep the Deep South.
Ted Cruz cruised to victory in Idaho, proving that he can win Western states. He is looking better than Kasich and FAR better than Rubio whose percentages made him the loser of the night.
In fact, those who voted for Marco was so few it is probable that he will walk away (or RUN!), finishing fourth out of four states among four candidates.
That means the wind is completely out of his sails as he faces the state where he is Senator – Florida – the state political experts say Rubio must win or he should drop out.
That brings up the question, how do you sell yourself as a winner to those in your home state, when another candidate – in this case Trump – when your opponent is 20% ahead of you and statewide polls?
Polls can be wrong, but seldom by that much.
On the Democrat side, with the one exception that Nevada, Hillary Clinton still hasn’t proven that she can carry anything but southern states. Bernie Sanders might as well not even have shown up in Mississippi. Hillary waxed his skis even though there were no snowy mountains. Final results in Mississippi 83% for Hillary, 17% for Bernie. That really was a wipeout.
But Bernie got even with Mrs. Clinton. Hillary was ahead in all the Michigan polls by many points, but that’s what everyone needs to understand about political polls.
No matter how large the survey is, most people in the geographical area being polled are never included. among those not asked that polls can be proved wrong. Still, as entire state contests go, it could be considered a squeaker. Bernie got 50% of the vote to Hillary’s 48%.
Let’s get more specific. Here’s how last night’s voting played out:
Hawaii: Donald Trump 42%, Ted Cruz 33%, Marco John Rubio 13%, Kasich 11%. Bernie Sanders 50%, Hillary Clinton 48%.
Mississippi: Donald Trump 47%, Ted Cruz 36%, Marco Rubio 5%, John Kasich 9%. Hillary Clinton 83%; Bernie Sanders 17%.
Idaho: Ted Cruz 45%, Donald Trump 28%, Marco Rubio 16%, John Kasich 7%.
Michigan: Donald Trump 37%, Ted Cruz 25%, John Kasich 24%, Marco Rubio 9%
(Idaho and Hawaii involved Republicans only)
Of course, as important as all that voting is, the more important issue is how many delegates does each candidate have now?
On the Republican ticket, remembering that it takes 1,237 delegates to win the nomination: Donald Trump has 458, Ted Cruz is second with 359 delegates, Marco Rubio’s third with 151 delegates, and John Kasich so far has just 54 delegates.
In the two-way Democrat race, remembering that it takes 2383 delegates to win the nomination: Hillary Clinton has 760 and Bernie Sanders has 546.
One thing to keep in mind also is that this does not count the Superdelegates among the Democrats that boost Hillary quite a bit more above Bernie.
Exit polls are always interesting to see what America is thinking and why they are voting a certain way. The number one issue among the four states last night were 1. The economy; 2. Immigration; 3. Anger at the federal government; and 4. They want a president who is a political outsider.
One question was asked of Michigan voters as they were exiting: “How do you feel about temporarily banning Muslims who are not US citizens from entering the United States? 62% said they favored keeping the Muslims out. 32% said they were opposed to that idea. That’s a large majority in favor of temporarily banning Muslim entrance.
A second question specifically asked of those exiting after voting was “Do you believe Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy?” Mississippi voters gave Trump a 46% answer yes to that question.
Then a second question was asked: “If Donald Trump is elected president, would you be satisfied?” 1 out of 2 in Michigan said yes (50%), and 58% said yes in Michigan.
Donald Trump obviously got most out of the second Super Tuesday. Nevertheless, Ted Cruz winning Idaho and coming second to Trump in all three other races, certainly can’t be counted out. Trump trumped, but Cruz can remain on cruise control.
So, what’s next? Guam holds a Republican convention on March 12th. On that same day – this coming Saturday – the Northern Marianas holds a Democrat caucus while the District of Columbia (better known as Washington DC)
holds a
Republican caucus.
And finally… Have you ever done something and then wished you had done something else instead? In (Redding), Pennsylvania there’s a guy that must feel that way. He was sitting in the backseat of a taxicab wearing a Lone Ranger mask and a white hoodie and he pulled a gun on the driver whom he planned to rob. But it was a case of really bad timing. It seems the taxidriver froze and when a stoplight turned green, he didn’t budge. A Sheriff saw that the taxi wasn’t moving, so he turned his red light on
The dialogue went like this: “Give me all your money, man. I need it right now if you don’t want to die.” The panicked driver yelled “There’s a cop behind us”. The would–be thief then tried to jump out of the taxi. Deputy Terry Ely drew his gun, called for backup, and quickly arrested eighteen-year-old wearing what looked like a Halloween costume. Victor Martinez–Herrera sits in a jail cell today, wishing he had done something else instead.
Big Wins and Big Losses in the Second Super Tuesday
Big Wins and Big Losses in the Second Super Tuesday